Where We Stand Before The Last 4 Hours of Qualifying

Below are some numbers for the General Election Only, I’ve included my “races to watch” below the fold/after the jump…w/e. Here’s hoping we have an Agg Comm candidate soon and a few more House challenges, and I have no idea why the Senate has fallen to the wayside.

State-wide Seats with NO Democratic candidates – 1 (Ag Commissioner)

Congressional Seats with NO Democratic candidates – CD 1 (R-Kingston), CD 6 (R-Price), CD 7 (Open), CD 9 (Open), CD 11 (R-Gingrey)

State Senate seats with NO Democratic candidates (totals only) – 26 (um, WTF?)

State Senate seats with NO Republican candidates – 17

State House seats with NO Democratic candidates – 75

State House seats with NO Republican candidates – 65

District Atty seats with NO Democratic candidates – 5

District Atty seats with NO Republican candidates – 3


Some of my personal pics to watch, note that if I didnt include links, it’s because there are too many, look up the websites for the candidates that bothered to post them here. If I didn’t include a race you think should be in this list it’s because I don’t have any personal knowledge on it, but please, knock yourself out in the comments!

Intra-primary contests (and I aint touching the statewide races sorry):

1. the Hank Johnson vs Vernon Jones & Connie Stokes in CD 4

2. the combined Republican CSFs that are CD 7 and CD 9 (i’m cheering for anyone but Graves)

3. Senate District 17, formerly John Douglas’ seat, this has contests on both sides and should have been a D pickup in 2008.

4. Senate District 39 – Vincent Fort vs Graham Balch, apparently Graham has raised a lot of money…I look for Vincent to put a John Lewis-style smackdown on this one

5. Senate District 40 – Three Republicans running, two of them are Dunwoody big-hitters. Only one Democratic candidate and he appears to be mounting a strong campaign…this district went 45% for the Democratic candidate in 2008 who was quite ill throughout the campaign.

6. Senate District 42 *disclaimer-I work for Jason Carter* – Jason Carter v Tom Stubbs. No Republicans in this race to replace Senator Adelman in DeKalb County.

7. Senate District 44 – former State Senator Gail Davenport who was knocked out in 08 by Gail Buckner is attempting a comeback against State Representative Mike Glanton – beware these Clayton County races can turn bizarre quickly.

8. Senate District 47 – 4 Republicans running and only 1 Democrat who ran in 08 for this partial Athens/Clarke County Seat

9. Any of the North Georgia Republican only Primary fights. The mountains are littered with them this cycle. Please guys, knock each other out!

10. State House District 20 – Anyone running against Charlice Byrd deserves a medal.

11. House District 33 – incumbent Democrat Don Wix versus David Wilkerson…they say all politics is local, and I’m betting this one’s going to be close.

12. House District 65 – ah, the memories from south Fulton…George Sneed is challenging Sharon Beasley-Teague. Have nothing but good things to say about George, he was a faithful GOTV volunteer over and over in 2008.

13. House District 75 – Again, Clayton County, but Yasmin Neal is spirited and good with the Press (former Young Dems of Georgia Press Secretary), running in this open seat against H. Shawn James in the D Primary.

14. House District 89 – Coach Williams is fending off a challenge from Victory Church Pastor Ken Samuels…This is a fight I’d rather didn’t happen.

15. House District 114 – Democrat Holly Ward is attempting to unseat incumbent Keith Heard. Met Holly at the Young Dems Convention this year, seems like a nice lady.

16. House District 143 – Bunch of Dems and one Republican running to replace DuBose Porter in the state house as he leaves to run for Gov.

17. House District 117 – Mark Hatfield who went off the crazy-cliff ala Bachman style this year has a fight on his hands in the R Primary.

Now for the fun part! General Election Races to Watch:

1. House District 8 – Democrat Jack Lance is challenging freshman-Republican Stephen Allison. Going to be a spirited fight in the mountains!

2. House District 19 – Democrat Will Avery is taking on the Got-Caught-Cheating-With-My-Mother-In-Law Republican Freshman Daniel Stout who replaced Glenn Richardson of all people…OH the Irony.

3. House District 28 – Irvin of Tommy Irvin, family member Chris Irvin is mounting a run in a district the Irvins have carried since about 1968 when Tommy was elected Ag Commissioner.

4. House District 34 – Former Beauty Pageant Queen who beat Sarah Palin in Alaska, Maryline Blackburn is running against Rich Golich. I think Rich is about to get beat by a very attractive lady.

5. House District 67 – former speaker candidate Bill Hembree has a good Democratic challenger in Kimberly Alexander for this Douglas County seat.

6. House District 81 – Elena Parent has done a stellar job of fundraising and working her grassroots connections in a first ever girl-girl matchup with incumbent Jill Chambers and her one-note Marta-anti-Marta-Marta campaigns.

7. House District 102 – Democrat Porter Deal is going to make a very cool run that could flip this rapidly trending open seat. There are way too many Republicans running to list.

8. House District 103 – Democrat Allan Burns is going to attempt to unseat the I’m-Running-I’m-Not-Running David Casas, also another trending Gwinnett Seat

9. House District 106 – Not to be left out of the Gwinnett seats about to go Blue – Steffini Bethea is running strong in this open Gwinnett Seat.

10. House District 109 – Steve Davis is in for a fight against Democrat Matt Roberts in a very likely pickup district.

11. House District 125 – Two 67-year-old candidates are going to duke it out for this open seat, both retired. Interesting demographic challenge huh?

12. House District 153 – My favorite of all the raced – John Tibbetts is running again for this open seat that Republican Austin Scott is vacating to run for something up-ticket. I think John could take this Tifton/Turner county seat.

13. House District 176 – Democratic State House Rep Jay Shaw abandoned this seat to his Republican son, who has a primary challenge. Democrat Debra Tann is going to try to put the smack-down on this “switcheroo” of a race.

14. House District 179 – Jerry Keen left some back wake in the retirement-ish district that includes St Marys & St Simons. Expect retired teacher Audrey Stewart to make this 40% in 2008 district a top-tier race for the Democrats.


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21 responses to “Where We Stand Before The Last 4 Hours of Qualifying”

  1. JerryT Avatar
    JerryT

    And good luck to you Jim.

  2. JimNichols Avatar

    Add Dawn Randolph to Sen. 44

    Matt Roberts is gonna clean Davis’ clock in the 109 as lots of Republicans don’t like Davis…

    Rudy Cox was recruited at the last minute for HD 110–he ran against Douglas last go around here in the 17th but he raised $500 and had no GOTV.

    And the Sen. 17th? We’re gonna flip that district this year–count on it.

  3. J.M. Prince Avatar
    J.M. Prince

    Glad to report that we’ve been able to contest the widely detested Loudermilk in SD52 in Bartow/Rome-Floyd, & also that HD14 seat he vacated. Tracy Bennett qualified with ‘5 min to spare’ again for SD31 too.

    And despite the crazy? I for one am appreciative that Andre went ahead with his threat to qualify for the Ag Commission race. Always. Contest. Everything. Possible. Thanks to everyone for all the help to make it all possible. Now we’ve got to get out there & Fight!

    JMP

  4. Ed Avatar
    Ed

    One of our candidates listed this as his campaign web site. Why do I get the feeling it isn’t his?

    http://www.drmalik.com/

    FFFFFFFFFfffffffffffuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu

  5. Ed Avatar
    Ed

    Yeah no you shouldn’t.

  6. politicalaka Avatar
    politicalaka

    You should add Rashad Taylor vs. Able Mable to your races to watch.

  7. JerryT Avatar
    JerryT

    They are showing JB Powell qualified for Ag Comm.

  8. Sarawaraclara Avatar
    Sarawaraclara

    Would just one of these numbnuts go qualify for the damn Agg Comm seat?!

  9. Ed Avatar
    Ed

    Michael Addams looks like the most pretentious twat ever.

    I’m glad to lose the title.

  10. JerryT Avatar
    JerryT

    Now Horacena has a Dem challenger too.

  11. Jason Cecil Avatar
    Jason Cecil

    Wow, Joe Martin has come back for another go at State Superindentent of Education.

  12. politicalaka Avatar
    politicalaka

    Wow. Joe Martin is running for School Sup. He’ll be the Dem frontrunner.

  13. Jason Cecil Avatar
    Jason Cecil

    Haley being Haley Shank! She’s official! Another YD putting themselves forward.

  14. TimC Avatar
    TimC

    Hey Jerry, it does feel like we are challenging more. If we get more State Senate candidates today this will be our best showing in a long time in my memory. (Where’s ChrisH when you need him to just tell you these things?) lol

  15. politicalaka Avatar
    politicalaka

    “Miss Angela” jumped in the SOS race. What a mess.

  16. politicalaka Avatar
    politicalaka

    Donzella James has two primary challengers, Torrey Johnson and a woman I’ve never heard of before.

  17. JerryT Avatar
    JerryT

    Horacena Tate gets a Republican challenger??

  18. JerryT Avatar
    JerryT

    I don’t know what the numbers were last time, but it “feels” like we are challenging in more races, no?

    And Keith Kaylor is in! And it’s an open seat this time.

  19. Rubyduby Avatar
    Rubyduby

    Do I need to go qualify for Ag Commissioner? I was a member of FFA in high school…

  20. Jason Cecil Avatar
    Jason Cecil

    I’m pretty excited that Haley will carry the Dem banner in HD 173!

  21. J.M. Prince Avatar
    J.M. Prince

    Thanks for the helpful rundown here Tim, I tried all day & week to fill HD14 with a solidly good candidate, but sadly he had this rationality problem previously spoken of. We’re likely to qualify someone by noon for the SD31 seat however. At the moment SD52 is also going to be uncontested in Bartow/Floyd (Preston Smith’s vacated seat), but we’ve filled the HD12 spot (Tom Graves’vacated seat) for qualifying for both the ‘Special Election’ & the general.

    Other minor notes: having met Maryline Blackburn @ a NW Ga. Democratic event (thanks to Bob Barton), I know she’s a very smart, milti-talented, successful singer & entertainer, and no one should under estimate her. And just a lovely woman too.

    http://www.marylineblackburn.com/

    I’ve got other favs in other races, but suffice to say not all incumbents deserve to win & this is likely the year a few of them are going to be picked off in primaries. Everywhere too. ‘Nuff said. JMP

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