Could be good.  Could be bad.  What do you think?

Sabato’s Crystal Ball has the analysis.   We’ll be talking about this map on Kudzu Vine Sunday night between 7PM & 8PM.  Call in (646 478-4503) to discuss!

 

11 Responses to The Map

  1. David says:

    As we all 3 agreed last night on the show, NH is more GOP nominee dependent than the other yellow states on this map. Romney could win NH, culture war tea partier would move this state further into the blue than in 2008.

  2. Matt says:

    While I have some disagreements, nothing seems outrageous here. I’d put New Hampshire, Nevada, Iowa, and Colorado, in that order, at lean Democratic at least. Possibly Virginia as well. Indiana is lean Republican, I think. Obama’s win there was small and seemed like a fluke.

  3. Drew says:

    So . . . the same map as every election since 1992, then?

    • EGaluszka says:

      Virginia and North Carolina being true toss-ups this election make a huge difference, not necessarily from 2008, but certainly from 2004 and 2000. The mid-atlantic region is going to be huge for Democrats in the coming generation, and hopefully with Georgia seeing similar demographic trends to North Carolina, the blue will spread further south before too many more years.

      • Chris says:

        Georgia’s demo trends are way better than North Carolina’s have been. That’s just a different enough state in enough regards for it not to have mattered in Georgia (yet) and not to have been needed (yet) in North Carolina.

  4. JMPrince says:

    Could be worse, may still get there. Now a Map not many under the age of 40 might understand:
    http://www.theliterarygiftcompany.com/ekmps/shops/danihall/images/usa-literary-map-3459-p.jpg

    Pretty selective, and highly discriminatory too. Leaves out lots. JMP

  5. EGaluszka says:

    I don’t buy Ohio as toss-up with how unpopular Republicans have become since the election in that state. And Iowa still really loves Barack Obama, so I wouldn’t really consider that a toss-up either. In any case, the map looks extremely favorable to Obama, because he’s pretty much free to play offense.

  6. Trevor Southerland says:

    I’ve got to think we stand a good chance of re-electing the President in 2012, barring any major crashes in the economy, etc…

    The GOP Primary field right now looks like a Christmas present. If Sarah Palin jumps in, we should just break out in song.

    But it’s going to require a lot of hard work, and a repeat of the strong voter turn out that we had in 2008.

  7. David says:

    I agree IN will be tougher, but if the GOP has too spend resources there to hold it, it is a win for us.

    From what I have been Rick Scott may hand us FL anyway. But, FL is a state where the 65+ high negatives for President Obama may be trouble

  8. Chris says:

    I’d be shocked if we win IN this year, 2008 had special circumstances written all over it. That said, Harry Reid’s win makes me feel good about NV, I think Colorado is still a good state for us, and I think Iowa probably comes around too. That’s 21 of the 22 votes we’d need. NH, VA or NC would finish it. One nice thing about this scenario – not having to play the old Ohio or Florida game.

  9. David says:

    If you are the GOP and you IN and VA are battleground states, you are DONE!