Okay folks, we’re just a couple of days away from the Iowa caucuses, where the first blow of the Republican race to be the guy (or gal) who loses to Barack Obama in 2012 happens.

So, what are your predictions?  And, do you think it’s fair that states like Iowa and New Hampshire have an uneven weight on the rest of the campaign due to their first in the nation status?  If you say unfair, then what’s your solution?  A one day 50 state primary…  regional primaries?


19 Responses to Iowa Predictions

  1. Jules says:

    If I heard “three way” once I heard it a thousand times… seriously that is the dullest three way I could imagine. A sweater vest, a dull hair piece and a old guy. No thanks to that nightmare porn scenario.

  2. Jules says:

    Is calling a flag on the play… Santorum is sticking with the sweater vest. Sweet baby Jesus on a breadstick, I’ve seen it all now.

  3. JMPrince says:

    Willard ‘Mitt’/Paul for a close first/2nd, ‘Greasy’ Santorum/Newt for 3 & 4, Perry/ Torquemada for 4 & 5, Bachmann/Kim Jong-un for 6 & 7. A week or longer ago I thought Paul might take it, but Willard’s coming on stronger than expected. Flyover country is most of the country as described and experienced by the national media. Then & now. JMP

  4. Steve says:

    Out of a state of almost 3 million only 120,000 folks will participate. Talk about unrepresentative democracy….

    We need rotating primaries in this country so other states get a chance to make the early decisions, and not just a a bunch of farmers.

  5. Peaches says:

    I’ve always favored regional primaries, if only to make it easier for the candidates. Just seems neater, but like everything in politics that’s a good idea, will never happen. And yes, Romney by a nose.

  6. Eddy Galuszka says:

    At worst, Santorum is finishing a strong second. When Bachmann’s people fail to garner a delegate at most precincts, they’re going to go to him.

    • Dave Bearse says:

      Interesting angle.

      • EGaluszka says:

        It comes from experience. Obama won Iowa largely because Richardson failed to garner a delegate at a lot of precincts, and their second choice was Obama. I feel like the same is going to be true, and Santorum is going to be a catch-all candidate.

        • Dave Bearse says:

          Santorum is thw worst of all GOP worlds, a big spending social extremist. A great Santorum showing helps Mitt by keeping the circus on the road through Florida, so the establishment (not the campaigns) can be expected to go easy on him.

          Paul, Perry and Gingrich are in for the haul. A good NH showing keeps Huntsman alive at least until SC. Indeed I don’t see anyone else but Bachman dropping out/lrelegated to nothingness before SC.

    • EGaluszka says:


  7. Jules says:

    Oh and re should they go first, in a way I think it’s ok. It actually helps the candidates see those flyover states and attitudes more than say NY or WA. I think NV will get interesting tho.

  8. Jules says:

    Romney by a nose. Literally the caucus goers hold their noses and huddle for him, then leave the buildings quickly.

    Newt gets low double digits.

    Bachman places 4th