Iowa Predictions

Okay folks, we’re just a couple of days away from the Iowa caucuses, where the first blow of the Republican race to be the guy (or gal) who loses to Barack Obama in 2012 happens.

So, what are your predictions?  And, do you think it’s fair that states like Iowa and New Hampshire have an uneven weight on the rest of the campaign due to their first in the nation status?  If you say unfair, then what’s your solution?  A one day 50 state primary…  regional primaries?


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19 responses to “Iowa Predictions”

  1. Dave Bearse Avatar

    Three-way is the common term, but usually someone’s left out.

  2. ire Avatar
    ire

    also I forget what but it was something like 90% if Iowans live in urban areas. Kind of like, you know, the rest of the country.

  3. Jules Avatar
    Jules

    I dunno, I saw that video and it looks delicious, just saying.

    Plus Rove founds some votes for Willard here under the cover of darkness ( 2:21 am) so is 14 votes for the Romney win.

  4. Dave Bearse Avatar

    Remeber it’s Iowa, so it’s fried butter on a stick.

  5. Dave Bearse Avatar

    I believe the term for Santorum is “frothy”,

  6. Dave Bearse Avatar

    120,000 is ten tiimes more than enough if they were a representative sample. Therein lies the rub.

  7. Dave Bearse Avatar

    Santorum is thw worst of all GOP worlds, a big spending social extremist. A great Santorum showing helps Mitt by keeping the circus on the road through Florida, so the establishment (not the campaigns) can be expected to go easy on him.

    Paul, Perry and Gingrich are in for the haul. A good NH showing keeps Huntsman alive at least until SC. Indeed I don’t see anyone else but Bachman dropping out/lrelegated to nothingness before SC.

  8. EGaluszka Avatar
    EGaluszka

    VINDICATION!

  9. Jules Avatar
    Jules

    If I heard “three way” once I heard it a thousand times… seriously that is the dullest three way I could imagine. A sweater vest, a dull hair piece and a old guy. No thanks to that nightmare porn scenario.

  10. Jules Avatar
    Jules

    Is calling a flag on the play… Santorum is sticking with the sweater vest. Sweet baby Jesus on a breadstick, I’ve seen it all now.

  11. EGaluszka Avatar
    EGaluszka

    It comes from experience. Obama won Iowa largely because Richardson failed to garner a delegate at a lot of precincts, and their second choice was Obama. I feel like the same is going to be true, and Santorum is going to be a catch-all candidate.

  12. Dave Bearse Avatar

    Interesting angle.

  13. JMPrince Avatar
    JMPrince

    Willard ‘Mitt’/Paul for a close first/2nd, ‘Greasy’ Santorum/Newt for 3 & 4, Perry/ Torquemada for 4 & 5, Bachmann/Kim Jong-un for 6 & 7. A week or longer ago I thought Paul might take it, but Willard’s coming on stronger than expected. Flyover country is most of the country as described and experienced by the national media. Then & now. JMP

  14. Not Steve Avatar
    Not Steve

    I think the only way you could sound more out-of-touch is if you used the phrase ‘flyover country.’

  15. Steve Avatar
    Steve

    Out of a state of almost 3 million only 120,000 folks will participate. Talk about unrepresentative democracy….

    We need rotating primaries in this country so other states get a chance to make the early decisions, and not just a a bunch of farmers.

  16. Peaches Avatar

    I’ve always favored regional primaries, if only to make it easier for the candidates. Just seems neater, but like everything in politics that’s a good idea, will never happen. And yes, Romney by a nose.

  17. Eddy Galuszka Avatar
    Eddy Galuszka

    At worst, Santorum is finishing a strong second. When Bachmann’s people fail to garner a delegate at most precincts, they’re going to go to him.

  18. Jules Avatar
    Jules

    Oh and re should they go first, in a way I think it’s ok. It actually helps the candidates see those flyover states and attitudes more than say NY or WA. I think NV will get interesting tho.

  19. Jules Avatar
    Jules

    Romney by a nose. Literally the caucus goers hold their noses and huddle for him, then leave the buildings quickly.

    Newt gets low double digits.

    Bachman places 4th

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